Mon 12 May 2025 ▪
3
min read ▪ by
Crypto is reborn under the spotlight with explosive technical signals and a bitcoin flirting with historic highs. While analysts clash over the imminence of an altseason, the market holds its breath. Is this the beginning of a new bull cycle or just another illusion?
In brief
- Technical indicators suggest a possible altseason with daily gains of up to 40% on altcoins.
- The absence of retail investors currently limits the strength and scope of the crypto bull cycle.
- The more favorable macroeconomic context supports the recovery, but the market remains divided on its sustainability.
Altseason and Bullish Signals: Is the Trend Reversal Real?
The BlockchainCenter.net Altseason index crosses the critical level of 29, often interpreted as the tipping point toward an altcoin rally. This development coincides with the rise of bitcoin beyond $104,000, boosting optimism in crypto markets. Analysts mention daily gains of up to 40%, driven by:
- an increase in volumes on major alternative cryptos;
- declining correlations between Bitcoin and certain tokens;
- a resurgence of activity on trading platforms.
This technical picture could mark the start of a sustainable altcoin crypto cycle.
Retail Investors: A Still Absent Dynamic
The strength of a crypto bull run largely depends on the participation of retail investors. However, current data shows limited activity in this segment. This absence creates vulnerabilities:
- low diversification of flows within the crypto market;
- dominance of institutional investors in bullish moves;
- increased volatility without a broad base of support.
A true crypto altseason requires a return of retail investors to trigger a full cycle.
Crypto and Macroeconomics: A Favorable but Fragile Context
The macro environment plays a key role in the crypto market’s evolution. A détente between the United States and China, combined with interest rate stabilization, favors a gradual return of risk appetite. This situation could benefit the crypto ecosystem through:
- smoother capital inflows into bitcoin and altcoins;
- a reduction in defensive arbitrages;
- a revaluation of digital assets perceived as undervalued.
In this context, the market regains fertile ground but remains uncertain.
Crypto 2025: Altseason Scenarios and Interpretation Traps
Analysts such as el_crypto_prof identify similar phases to the 2016 and 2020 bull cycles. Others, like Rekt Fencer, remind us that the majority of altcoins have lost more than 90% since their peaks. Three scenarios are possible for crypto in 2025:
- a rapid but unstable bull cycle;
- a temporary recovery without confirmation;
- a slow but solid restart of the altcoin ecosystem.
The crypto market remains divided between speculative hope and strategic caution.
Crypto may be entering a new era, but this altseason will have to convince beyond the charts. Announced a few months ago by the CEO of CryptoQuant, an influx of capital, broader participation, and sustained macro signals will be necessary to sustainably register this altcoin momentum.
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The world is evolving and adaptation is the best weapon to survive in this undulating universe. Originally a crypto community manager, I am interested in anything that is directly or indirectly related to blockchain and its derivatives. To share my experience and promote a field that I am passionate about, nothing is better than writing informative and relaxed articles.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
