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We are still waiting for those happy days when dollars would rain down to the point of not knowing how to spend them. Yet, Wall Street and local companies seem to be struggling. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang sounds the alarm. The technological and trade wars started under Trump have not finished causing damage. While some signs of peace appear after talks in Geneva, American companies are still suffering heavy losses. Nvidia is on the front line and questions the future of an AI-driven economy.
In Brief
- Nvidia CEO warns about the failure of American restrictions against China.
- Nvidia lost 15 billion and saw its market share cut in half.
- China is investing massively and supporting its technological champions in the field of AI.
- Restrictions have stimulated local innovation and strengthened Chinese technological sovereignty.
Nvidia Sounds the Alarm Over a Financial Chasm Linked to Restrictions
Recent talks in Geneva between the United States and China have hinted at a tariff détente. A temporary agreement on customs tariffs seems to ease tensions. Yet, economic peace remains fragile. Jensen Huang, Nvidia’s CEO, paints a worrying picture. According to him, restrictions on exporting AI chips to China are a “failure”. These measures, initiated under the Trump administration, have cost Nvidia billions.
The company’s market share in China has dropped from 95% to only 50%. The CEO mentions a loss estimated at 15 billion dollars related to the H20 chip, targeted by the restrictions. These controls also pushed Nvidia to create downgraded versions to circumvent the rules, but this is not enough to offset the sales decline. Despite a stated willingness to reduce tensions, the economic landscape remains undermined by these trade wars. The Nvidia CEO warns:
Ultimately, export controls have been a failure.
Huang emphasizes a strategy that backfired against American interests. The global economy, especially the AI sector, bears the heavy cost.
China Strikes Back and Invests Massively: A New AI Power Rises
Taking advantage of these unfinished wars, China has responded. It has accelerated the development of its local AI chips. Companies like Huawei have launched competitive, even superior technologies. For example, the CloudMatrix 384 system surpasses in power some Nvidia products.
The Chinese government has also provided strong financial support to this strategic sector. Jensen Huang acknowledges that “local companies are very talented and determined“.
Moreover, China concentrates nearly 50% of the world’s AI researchers, a considerable asset. This network of skills combined with massive investments raises fears of a shift. American export controls have paradoxically boosted Chinese technological sovereignty.
In this context, China no longer merely aims to catch up. It wants to establish itself as a global AI leader. This rise raises major geopolitical questions, notably about the future security and technological dominance. While Nvidia and other US players seek solutions, competition only intensifies.
Chinese gains are also the result of a clear strategy mixing innovation, diplomacy, and political will.
Political, Technological, and Economic Stakes Around AI
The battle over AI chips takes place in a tense political context. The Biden administration has tried to adapt the control rules. It is abandoning the third-party system to favor bilateral agreements. This new approach could complicate strategies for companies like Nvidia. They will have to navigate through several different regulations. The stakes go beyond just technology. They touch the global economy and geopolitical supremacy.
The United States seeks to maintain its lead in AI, a key sector for defense and industry, the foundation of a financial revolution. Nvidia is at the heart of this fight, with a valuation exceeding 130 billion dollars.
However, the reality on the ground is harsh: financial losses are piling up. China, on its side, knows how to take advantage of these weaknesses. It also exploits commercial rivalries to strengthen its position, as evidenced by its reaction to American restrictions on AI chips. Here are some key figures illustrating this dynamic:
- Nvidia’s market share in China dropped from 95% to 50%;
- Losses related to the H20 chip amount to approximately 15 billion dollars;
- China gathers 50% of global AI researchers;
- Nvidia plans to invest in new technologies despite the pressure;
- The Chinese AI market is estimated at around 50 billion dollars for 2026.
This situation demonstrates the complexity of the fight over AI. It mixes commercial rivalries, technological advances, and diplomacy. Political decisions have direct impacts on the economy and innovation. China and the United States confront each other on multiple fronts, including AI, the engine of the future.
China, a skilled negotiator, plays with economic diplomacy. But behind their commercial façade, Chinese leaders maintain a clear strategic vision. Their recent decision to reduce their holdings of US Treasury bonds worries more than one observer. Facing Donald Trump, they know how to step back. This caution illustrates their desire to exert lasting influence, well beyond immediate negotiations. AI is now a field where diplomacy meets economic and technological power.
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La révolution blockchain et crypto est en marche ! Et le jour où les impacts se feront ressentir sur l’économie la plus vulnérable de ce Monde, contre toute espérance, je dirai que j’y étais pour quelque chose
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
